August 2011

Changeling

Changeling

My family and I recently watched the moving “Changeling” with Angelina Jolie. The movie itself was entertaining and focused on the efforts of a 1920’s woman to recover her missing son. The issue at hand was the corruption of the Los Angeles Police Department after receiving bad press and their attempts to cover up shoddy police work. As we watched I found myself angered over the blatant misuse of authority. For example, when Jolie’s character challenged the police department they had her committed to an LA psychological hospital; a warrantless incarceration without trial. Once behind the walls of the hospital it was nearly impossible for her to plead her case.

Watching the movie caused me to challenge my kids to compare the situation to events of today and instantly they commented on perception of law enforcement corruption and intimidation. Of course, the most obvious example is TSA’s violation of the 4th Amendment at airport security check points and intimidation of people like Aaron Toney who was detained for 90 minutes, without arrest, by TSA on December 31 at Richmond, Virginia’s airport when he removed his shirt and displayed the 4th Amendment on his chest.

In Philadelphia gun owner Mark Fiornio was nearly shot, detained and harassed for lawfully openly carrying a gun. A new FBI Advisory circular, “Communities Against Terrorism: Potential Indicators of Terrorist Activities Related to Military Surplus Stores” advises store owners to keep records of customers making lawful purchases but fitting a profile of self-preparedness.

In London two weeks ago government officials required Amazon.com to stop selling self-defense weapons while authorities simultaneously allowed riots to “run their course.” Thus, the citizens lost the right to protect themselves in their own homes. Similarly, San Francisco authorities shut down cell-towers within the Bart system to prevent a possible riot from developing, but also leaving law abiding citizens with no mechanism for protection.

Regardless of examples I provide I must wonder when intimidation will stop and the rule of law will prevail. The movie “Changeling” highlighted corruption I could not believe existed. Ultimately, the 1930’s Courts found in favor of their “own”, but yet the corruption was known and documented. Like the Gestapo, TSA, police departments, and the National Guard will be asked to turn on citizens instead of protecting those, they are here “To Serve and Protect.”

August 24, 2011 by Big Government Civil Rights Stupid People Terrorists

Things you don’t know

It’s easy to watch the news and feel the economy is improving. Comically the performance of the Dow Jones is blasted at us each evening as the key indicator of economic success in America. It becomes more ironic when one thinks of Larry Kudlow shouting accolades of “Green Shoots” across the CNBC airwaves, but our neighbors are losing their jobs and homes. The Obama administration’s economic success is measured by the Dow, unemployment, and inflation. The numbers are reported as better than during the recession of the 1980s and especially better than the Great Depression. However, this is far from the truth.

Every evening the swings in the Dow are blasted across the airwaves as the measure of success of our country. However, the Dow has changed so dramatically no one should pay any attention to these numbers. The Dow is an index of 30 companies, originally started in 1896. In 1896 there were twelve companies in the Dow and only one remains existence today, General Electric. Since 1896 the “components,” or 30 companies composing the index, have changed 48 times. Thus, a more technology weighted or health services weighted Dow can look nothing like the Dow of bygone years. When one adds inflation, as the Dow is unadjusted, the numbers become completely meaningless.

The unemployment numbers are currently 9.1% and considered the holy grail of whether we are better off than the Great Depression. Most people don’t realize the methods of calculating the unemployment rate have changed. The most significant change came in 1994 when those out of work for more than a year were eliminated from the numbers, essentially reducing the count by 5 million and in 2003 the statistical models were changed. Using old methods brings the current U-6 rate to 23%, in line with the numbers of the 1930’s.

The consumer price index (CPI) is the measure of inflation and it too has changed. The market basket of goods is to measure pricing averages as this index impacts policy and more importantly government dole like Social Security and Medicaid. Alan Greenspan argued the historic methods were invalid because, for example, if the price of a steak increased then consumers would substitute with hamburger. A somewhat valid argument until one considers rent, heating oil, and gasoline where there are no substitutions. Changes were made by Carter, Reagan, and Clinton to ensure inflation was not “overstated.” Housing is indexed to “rent equivalents” and energy has been eliminated.

In essence, we are not comparing apples and apples to look at today versus yesterday. “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics.” – Author Unknown

August 20, 2011 by Capitalism Depression Economic Development Great Recession

Collapse is Starting

President Obama promised “Hope and Change” when he was elected; he has definitely managed to deliver “Change,” and last week he was quoted saying “Hope” doesn’t happen overnight. Change has come at us like a freight train and repeatedly I have our covered loss of civil liberties, now our economic future has been stolen by Washington:
– The debt deal promised cuts, but the debt will increase by $8 trillion dollars to $23 trillion by 2021. “Why?” Because the government calls a “cut” less spending than was projected for the following year, not less than is spent now.
– The day after the deal passed the government spent $236 billion, or $750 per citizen, in a single day. For my family of six, the debt increased by $4500. I don’t have an extra $4500 lying around, do you?
– Standard and Poor’s downgraded the U.S. credit outlook for the first time in history on August 5, 2011. To claim this is a political move would underscore the objectivity of credit reporting.
– The official Chinese news agency commented, “China has every right now to demand the United States address its structural debt problems and ensure the safety of China’s dollar assets.”
– Food stamp usage hit a new historic high last week, 45.5 million, up from 26 million in January 2007, and 32 million in January 2009 when Obama took office.
– According to the Census Bureau, homeownership fell to the lowest level since 1998, 65.9%, and if delinquencies are included the numbers match 1965’s level of 59.2%, according to Morgan Stanley.
– Housing prices have dipped 32% since they peaked in mid-2006, again for the 50th straight month realtors call a bottom to the decline.
– Weekly first time jobless claims continued their record setting levels above 400,000 for the 17th straight week.
– The average length of time to find a job has surged to a new record, 40.4 weeks.
– The labor force participation rate fell to a new low, 63.9% not seen since the early 1980s.
– Including those who quit looking but desire employment, the broader unemployment rate reached 16.1%.
– Gold topped historic numbers last week, closing above $1660/ounce.

I believe President Obama and Congress sealed their political fate last week and I am hopeful revolution will begin with the election of leaders, not self-serving politicians in 2012. A quick read of history will point to failed governments following the same path as the United States. We will not have societal Armageddon tomorrow, but our standard of living, and more importantly future generations’ standard of living, will continue to decline.

August 14, 2011 by Big Government Depression Great Recession Obama Peak Oil

Vacation 2011 – The last days…

We loved Gulf Shores enough to stay most of Friday. The extra stay paid off as our time at the beach turned into a “mini Sea World.” Walking on the beach we saw: tar balls, sting rays, jellies, hundreds of small fish, tiger sharks, dolphins playing off shore, and a baby loggerhead turtle. We also saw the Park Rangers counting eggs that did not hatch from a sea turtle the night before The clouds were out and it made for a cooler, nicer morning.

We managed lunch and packing up the RV before heading to the pool. The kids wanted to maximize their time at the pool before heading back up the road to Georgia. Disappointingly, the folks at Pine Mountain RV Camp would not accept a cancellation. Upon arrival it is obvious because they need the revenue, not because the opportunity cost of a sold out campground would cause the loss. There are at least a hundred vacant sites, but they strictly enforce their three-day cancellation policy.

As vacation winds down I see work picking up. Several phone calls today and many emails have given me plenty to do this weekemd, just to catch up. In addition I feel like a good part of the week is booked with calls already. I commented to a colleague that it’s not like we work in a factory and someone else does your job while you are gone, instead it is like a factory where work is piled aside until returning. Oh well, that delicate work/family balance remains precariously hinged.

The drive up I-65 was uneventful, other than I found myself dead tired to the world. Beach, pool, and unbearable heat zapped the life out of me. But, we made it down the road. We started looking for the Aurora’s from the geo-magnetic storm but did not see any. Finally we arrived at Pine Mountain at 10:30pm. I did punt tonight and take the kids out for dinner – Mexican, “Old Mexico” in Greenville, AL. We made cookies and watched the last of the movie, “The Right Stuff.” Poor Marcella has had to survive a “man’s week” but done very well. Since we had wi-fi for the first time all week we streamed Netflix and stayed up late watching “American Pickers.”

This morning I awoke to wireless and checked email. I cranked out my column for the week and am looking forward to getting home. The kids wanted to enjoy the pool here and I find myself blown away by the attractive Moms that all seem to litter their bodies with “tramp stamps.” Is it Georgia, RV’s, or just our society? It seems like America has become a society of circus freaks in dress and body decorations.

One last comment, the good and the bad from the week:
– Gasoline came in under budget
– The total vacation was just about at budget
– We drove 1100 miles
– We were short on gas bottles for the grill and outdoor stove as I cooked outside more than inside due to the unbearable heat
– No wi-fi at any state parks made managing work more difficult. My AT&T wireless card helped, but I have concluded AT&T sucks as a phone company. Marcella always had signal on T-Mobile.
– The kids did great and help me alot,  I could not have done it without them.
– The RV ran perfectly and once again we proved it is easy to live in 200 square feet.
– We ate out only one time, otherwise every meal was in the motorhome
– I should have brought some rope as a clothesline to dry our swimsuits and towels

August 7, 2011 by Uncategorized

Soldiers vs Winehouse

Soldiers v Winehouse (8/3/2011)

This past week I was riding with my daughter Haley talking about events of the week when I asked her if she knew who Amy Winehouse was. About two weeks ago Amy Winehouse died of an overdose and I had never heard of her, you probably haven’t either. What intrigued me more was the amount of media coverage her death received. I watch the NBC Nightly News and they gave at least three minutes to this celebrity, focusing on a lifestyle of degradation wrought with drugs and alcohol. My daughter impressed me with her next question, “did you see the Facebook post about this?”

I asked her to explain as I had no idea what she was talking about. Haley went on to share a girl had posted about Amy Winehouse versus the soldiers who died in the same week. Essentially, this is the same issue bothering me. Receiving no media coverage were the U.S. soldiers who gave their lives in Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen, and Libya.

Since 2002 thousands of soldiers have died fighting in our Presidents’ war on terror. These are funded by, but not declared wars by Congress and in my opinion Bush and Obama along with the entire Senate and House can be blamed for these deaths. Prior to Obama’s Presidency the major networks would publish the names of the soldiers who died each day and give coverage to the IEDs and bombings taking the lives of our sons and daughters. Part of Obama’s election platform was the withdrawal of troops and shutting down the wars, but the opposite has happened with as many lives lost on his watch as Bush’s.

I puzzle why we have U.S. soldiers dying on foreign soil and speculate the following: Iraq – to install democracy, Afghanistan – to stop Al Queda, Libya – to remove Qhadaffi, and Yemen – to protect human rights. All of these theaters are U.N. sanctioned and fought without a declaration of War by the Congress. Therefore, our soldiers are policeman, not upholding the Constitutional premise of protection against enemies foreign and domestic, especially since Osama Bin Laden was killed and the mission accomplished.

The Gulf of Tonkin taught us politicians will lie to create wars. I must now questions the policies of our government, and more personally I wonder if I would allow the government to send my sons to a questionable war. Of most concern is the media stopped questioning the reason for these wars and it now appears a meaningless, drugged up 27-year old British citizen deserves more coverage than our youth fighting a politicians’ war.

August 6, 2011 by Controversy Obama Terrorists